Awards DailyHealthy
- Published
- 28 Aug 2026, 00:00
- Ranking changed
- 29 Aug 2026, 12:30
- Last successful check
- 29 Aug 2026, 12:28
Professional nomination predictions
Adapted Screenplay
17 candidates · 4 outlets
Coverage4sources in consensus
UPDATE
Verified data
29 Aug 2026, 12:30PUBLISHED
Current professional consensus30 verified observations preserved with their provenance
Only an effective source change creates an updateChanges from the update on 15 Aug 2026, 05:00
Status and dates for 4 sources
Awards RadarHealthy
- Published
- 6 Aug 2026, 00:00
- Ranking changed
- 7 Aug 2026, 13:02
- Last successful check
- 29 Aug 2026, 04:17
Midnight Critics CircleHealthy
- Published
- no date
- Ranking changed
- 25 Jul 2026, 18:05
- Last successful check
- 29 Aug 2026, 04:17
Next Best PictureHealthy
- Published
- no date
- Ranking changed
- 3 Aug 2026, 05:45
- Last successful check
- 29 Aug 2026, 04:17
CONSENSUS
Professional consensus
Each outlet counts once. Unordered selections add coverage, never consensus points.
07
Javier Ambrossi, Javier Calvo — La Bola NegraJavier Ambrossi, Javier Calvo · La Bola Negra
1/4
25.0
—View positions 11–17
15
Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Léa Le Dimna — All of a SuddenRyusuke Hamaguchi, Léa Le Dimna · All of a Sudden
1/4
5.0
—MARKETS
Separate signals
Kalshi and Polymarket are shown by provider. There is no market consensus and their prices do not participate in professional predictions. They reflect the latest market capture, not the selected professional update.
Kalshi
Strongest nomination signalThe Odyssey90%Observed 20 Aug 2026, 15:17Strongest winner signalThe Odyssey35%Observed 28 Aug 2026, 19:17
View 8 contracts
Nomination
The Odyssey2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?90%Updated 20 Aug 2026, 15:17Project Hail Mary2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?76%Updated 27 Aug 2026, 14:17The Invite2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?76%Updated 26 Aug 2026, 13:17The Black Ball2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?71%Updated 17 Aug 2026, 23:17Winner
The OdysseyWill The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?35%Updated 28 Aug 2026, 19:17The Black BallWill The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?23%Updated 28 Aug 2026, 04:17The InviteWill The Invite win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?21%Updated 28 Aug 2026, 12:17Project Hail MaryWill Project Hail Mary win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?7%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 16:17Polymarket
View 4 contracts
Winner
The Black BallWill The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?26.5%Updated 28 Aug 2026, 20:14The OdysseyWill The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?26%Updated 27 Aug 2026, 14:12The InviteWill The Invite win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?10.5%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 08:16Project Hail MaryWill Project Hail Mary win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?8.2%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 14:12COMMUNITY · SEPARATE SIGNAL
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