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Professional nomination predictions

Best Picture

20 candidates · 6 outlets

Coverage5sources in consensus

UPDATE

Verified data

29 Aug 2026, 12:30PUBLISHED
Current professional consensus57 verified observations preserved with their provenance
Only an effective source change creates an updateChanges from the update on 24 Aug 2026, 05:00
Status and dates for 6 sources
Published
28 Aug 2026, 00:00
Ranking changed
29 Aug 2026, 12:30
Last successful check
29 Aug 2026, 12:28
Published
6 Aug 2026, 00:00
Ranking changed
27 Jul 2026, 05:45
Last successful check
29 Aug 2026, 04:17
Published
18 Aug 2026, 17:22
Ranking changed
19 Aug 2026, 05:00
Last successful check
29 Aug 2026, 04:17
Published
no date
Ranking changed
25 Jul 2026, 18:05
Last successful check
29 Aug 2026, 04:17
Published
no date
Ranking changed
7 Aug 2026, 13:02
Last successful check
29 Aug 2026, 04:17
The RingerHealthy
Published
20 Mar 2026, 12:18
Ranking changed
25 Jul 2026, 18:05
Last successful check
29 Aug 2026, 04:17

CONSENSUS

Professional consensus

Each outlet counts once. Unordered selections add coverage, never consensus points.

01
The OdysseyThe Odyssey
6/6
95.3
—
View provenance and calculation
Awards DailyPublished 28 Aug 2026, 00:00Rank 1 of 101 ptsAwards RadarPublished 6 Aug 2026, 00:00Rank 1 of 111 ptsAwardsWatchPublished 18 Aug 2026, 17:22Rank 1 of 101 ptsMidnight Critics CircleVerified publicationRank 3 of 150.867 ptsNext Best PictureVerified publicationRank 2 of 100.9 ptsThe RingerPublished 20 Mar 2026, 12:18selection0 pts
02
Wild Horse NineWild Horse Nine
5/6
86.4
—
View provenance and calculation
Awards DailyPublished 28 Aug 2026, 00:00Rank 4 of 100.7 ptsAwards RadarPublished 6 Aug 2026, 00:00Rank 3 of 110.818 ptsAwardsWatchPublished 18 Aug 2026, 17:22Rank 3 of 100.8 ptsMidnight Critics CircleVerified publicationRank 1 of 151 ptsNext Best PictureVerified publicationRank 1 of 101 ptsThe RingerPublished 20 Mar 2026, 12:18absent0 pts
03
FjordFjord
5/6
62.7
↑ 2
View provenance and calculation
Awards DailyPublished 28 Aug 2026, 00:00Rank 5 of 100.6 ptsAwards RadarPublished 6 Aug 2026, 00:00Rank 5 of 110.636 ptsAwardsWatchPublished 18 Aug 2026, 17:22Rank 4 of 100.7 ptsMidnight Critics CircleVerified publicationRank 7 of 150.6 ptsNext Best PictureVerified publicationRank 5 of 100.6 ptsThe RingerPublished 20 Mar 2026, 12:18absent0 pts
04
Project Hail MaryProject Hail Mary
4/6
62.2
—
View provenance and calculation
Awards DailyPublished 28 Aug 2026, 00:00Rank 2 of 100.9 ptsAwards RadarPublished 6 Aug 2026, 00:00Rank 2 of 110.909 ptsAwardsWatchPublished 18 Aug 2026, 17:22absent0 ptsMidnight Critics CircleVerified publicationRank 4 of 150.8 ptsNext Best PictureVerified publicationRank 6 of 100.5 ptsThe RingerPublished 20 Mar 2026, 12:18absent0 pts
05
La Bola NegraLa Bola Negra
4/6
60.7
↓ 2
View provenance and calculation
Awards DailyPublished 28 Aug 2026, 00:00Rank 7 of 100.4 ptsAwards RadarPublished 6 Aug 2026, 00:00absent0 ptsAwardsWatchPublished 18 Aug 2026, 17:22Rank 2 of 100.9 ptsMidnight Critics CircleVerified publicationRank 2 of 150.933 ptsNext Best PictureVerified publicationRank 3 of 100.8 ptsThe RingerPublished 20 Mar 2026, 12:18absent0 pts
06
Dune: Part ThreeDune: Part Three
5/6
38.7
—
View provenance and calculation
Awards DailyPublished 28 Aug 2026, 00:00Rank 9 of 100.2 ptsAwards RadarPublished 6 Aug 2026, 00:00absent0 ptsAwardsWatchPublished 18 Aug 2026, 17:22Rank 6 of 100.5 ptsMidnight Critics CircleVerified publicationRank 8 of 150.533 ptsNext Best PictureVerified publicationRank 4 of 100.7 ptsThe RingerPublished 20 Mar 2026, 12:18selection0 pts
07
Behemoth!Behemoth!
3/6
31.3
—
View provenance and calculation
Awards DailyPublished 28 Aug 2026, 00:00absent0 ptsAwards RadarPublished 6 Aug 2026, 00:00absent0 ptsAwardsWatchPublished 18 Aug 2026, 17:22Rank 5 of 100.6 ptsMidnight Critics CircleVerified publicationRank 6 of 150.667 ptsNext Best PictureVerified publicationRank 8 of 100.3 ptsThe RingerPublished 20 Mar 2026, 12:18absent0 pts
08
DiggerDigger
3/6
27.6
—
View provenance and calculation
Awards DailyPublished 28 Aug 2026, 00:00Rank 10 of 100.1 ptsAwards RadarPublished 6 Aug 2026, 00:00Rank 6 of 110.545 ptsAwardsWatchPublished 18 Aug 2026, 17:22absent0 ptsMidnight Critics CircleVerified publicationRank 5 of 150.733 ptsNext Best PictureVerified publicationabsent0 ptsThe RingerPublished 20 Mar 2026, 12:18absent0 pts
09
The InviteThe Invite
3/6
25.0
—
View provenance and calculation
Awards DailyPublished 28 Aug 2026, 00:00Rank 3 of 100.8 ptsAwards RadarPublished 6 Aug 2026, 00:00Rank 10 of 110.182 ptsAwardsWatchPublished 18 Aug 2026, 17:22absent0 ptsMidnight Critics CircleVerified publicationRank 12 of 150.267 ptsNext Best PictureVerified publicationabsent0 ptsThe RingerPublished 20 Mar 2026, 12:18absent0 pts
10
ObsessionObsession
3/6
21.3
—
View provenance and calculation
Awards DailyPublished 28 Aug 2026, 00:00Rank 6 of 100.5 ptsAwards RadarPublished 6 Aug 2026, 00:00absent0 ptsAwardsWatchPublished 18 Aug 2026, 17:22absent0 ptsMidnight Critics CircleVerified publicationRank 9 of 150.467 ptsNext Best PictureVerified publicationRank 10 of 100.1 ptsThe RingerPublished 20 Mar 2026, 12:18absent0 pts
View positions 11–20
11
The DebutThe Debut
3/6
17.9
—
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Awards DailyPublished 28 Aug 2026, 00:00absent0 ptsAwards RadarPublished 6 Aug 2026, 00:00Rank 8 of 110.364 ptsAwardsWatchPublished 18 Aug 2026, 17:22absent0 ptsMidnight Critics CircleVerified publicationRank 11 of 150.333 ptsNext Best PictureVerified publicationRank 9 of 100.2 ptsThe RingerPublished 20 Mar 2026, 12:18absent0 pts
12
InkInk
2/6
16.0
—
View provenance and calculation
Awards DailyPublished 28 Aug 2026, 00:00absent0 ptsAwards RadarPublished 6 Aug 2026, 00:00absent0 ptsAwardsWatchPublished 18 Aug 2026, 17:22Rank 7 of 100.4 ptsMidnight Critics CircleVerified publicationabsent0 ptsNext Best PictureVerified publicationRank 7 of 100.4 ptsThe RingerPublished 20 Mar 2026, 12:18absent0 pts
13
The Social ReckoningThe Social Reckoning
2/6
11.8
—
View provenance and calculation
Awards DailyPublished 28 Aug 2026, 00:00absent0 ptsAwards RadarPublished 6 Aug 2026, 00:00Rank 7 of 110.455 ptsAwardsWatchPublished 18 Aug 2026, 17:22absent0 ptsMidnight Critics CircleVerified publicationRank 14 of 150.133 ptsNext Best PictureVerified publicationabsent0 ptsThe RingerPublished 20 Mar 2026, 12:18absent0 pts
14
The Adventures of Cliff BoothThe Adventures of Cliff Booth
2/6
11.5
—
View provenance and calculation
Awards DailyPublished 28 Aug 2026, 00:00Rank 8 of 100.3 ptsAwards RadarPublished 6 Aug 2026, 00:00Rank 9 of 110.273 ptsAwardsWatchPublished 18 Aug 2026, 17:22absent0 ptsMidnight Critics CircleVerified publicationabsent0 ptsNext Best PictureVerified publicationabsent0 ptsThe RingerPublished 20 Mar 2026, 12:18absent0 pts
15
Club KidClub Kid
1/6
8.0
—
View provenance and calculation
Awards DailyPublished 28 Aug 2026, 00:00absent0 ptsAwards RadarPublished 6 Aug 2026, 00:00absent0 ptsAwardsWatchPublished 18 Aug 2026, 17:22absent0 ptsMidnight Critics CircleVerified publicationRank 10 of 150.4 ptsNext Best PictureVerified publicationabsent0 ptsThe RingerPublished 20 Mar 2026, 12:18absent0 pts
16
All of a SuddenAll of a Sudden
2/6
6.0
—
View provenance and calculation
Awards DailyPublished 28 Aug 2026, 00:00absent0 ptsAwards RadarPublished 6 Aug 2026, 00:00absent0 ptsAwardsWatchPublished 18 Aug 2026, 17:22Rank 10 of 100.1 ptsMidnight Critics CircleVerified publicationRank 13 of 150.2 ptsNext Best PictureVerified publicationabsent0 ptsThe RingerPublished 20 Mar 2026, 12:18absent0 pts
17
ElsinoreElsinore
1/6
4.0
—
View provenance and calculation
Awards DailyPublished 28 Aug 2026, 00:00absent0 ptsAwards RadarPublished 6 Aug 2026, 00:00absent0 ptsAwardsWatchPublished 18 Aug 2026, 17:22Rank 9 of 100.2 ptsMidnight Critics CircleVerified publicationabsent0 ptsNext Best PictureVerified publicationabsent0 ptsThe RingerPublished 20 Mar 2026, 12:18absent0 pts
18
TonyTony
1/6
1.8
—
View provenance and calculation
Awards DailyPublished 28 Aug 2026, 00:00absent0 ptsAwards RadarPublished 6 Aug 2026, 00:00Rank 11 of 110.091 ptsAwardsWatchPublished 18 Aug 2026, 17:22absent0 ptsMidnight Critics CircleVerified publicationabsent0 ptsNext Best PictureVerified publicationabsent0 ptsThe RingerPublished 20 Mar 2026, 12:18absent0 pts
19
FatherlandFatherland
1/6
1.3
—
View provenance and calculation
Awards DailyPublished 28 Aug 2026, 00:00absent0 ptsAwards RadarPublished 6 Aug 2026, 00:00absent0 ptsAwardsWatchPublished 18 Aug 2026, 17:22absent0 ptsMidnight Critics CircleVerified publicationRank 15 of 150.067 ptsNext Best PictureVerified publicationabsent0 ptsThe RingerPublished 20 Mar 2026, 12:18absent0 pts
20
Disclosure DayDisclosure Day
1/6
0.0
—
View provenance and calculation
Awards DailyPublished 28 Aug 2026, 00:00absent0 ptsAwards RadarPublished 6 Aug 2026, 00:00absent0 ptsAwardsWatchPublished 18 Aug 2026, 17:22absent0 ptsMidnight Critics CircleVerified publicationabsent0 ptsNext Best PictureVerified publicationabsent0 ptsThe RingerPublished 20 Mar 2026, 12:18selection0 pts

MARKETS

Separate signals

Kalshi and Polymarket are shown by provider. There is no market consensus and their prices do not participate in professional predictions. They reflect the latest market capture, not the selected professional update.

Kalshi

Strongest nomination signalThe Odyssey97%Observed 28 Aug 2026, 15:17Strongest winner signalThe Odyssey57%Observed 29 Aug 2026, 15:17
View 8 contracts

Nomination

The Odyssey2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?97%Updated 28 Aug 2026, 15:17Dune: Part Three2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?83%Updated 28 Aug 2026, 04:17Project Hail Mary2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?81%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 04:17The Black Ball2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?74%Updated 28 Aug 2026, 15:17

Winner

The OdysseyWill The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?57%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 15:17Dune: Part ThreeWill Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the Oscars?14%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 15:17The Black BallWill The Black Ball win Best Picture at the Oscars?9%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 07:17Wild Horse NineWill Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the Oscars?6%Updated 28 Aug 2026, 15:17

Polymarket

Strongest nomination signalThe Odyssey97.3%Observed 28 Aug 2026, 18:14Strongest winner signalThe Odyssey55.5%Observed 29 Aug 2026, 15:12
View 8 contracts

Nomination

The OdysseyWill "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?97.3%Updated 28 Aug 2026, 18:14Dune: Part ThreeWill "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?83%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 06:14Project Hail MaryWill "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?79.5%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 10:12La Bola NegraWill "La Bola Negra" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?70.5%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 14:16

Winner

The OdysseyWill The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?55.5%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 15:12Dune: Part ThreeWill Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?15%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 01:12La Bola NegraWill La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?11.5%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 03:12Wild Horse NineWill Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?8%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 04:14

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