Awards DailyHealthy
- Published
- 21 Aug 2026, 00:00
- Ranking changed
- 24 Aug 2026, 05:00
- Last successful check
- 29 Aug 2026, 12:28
Professional nomination predictions
Actor in a Leading Role
15 candidates · 5 outlets
Coverage5sources in consensus
UPDATE
Verified data
24 Aug 2026, 05:00PUBLISHED
Current professional consensus39 verified observations preserved with their provenance
Only an effective source change creates an updateChanges from the update on 7 Aug 2026, 13:02
Status and dates for 5 sources
Awards RadarHealthy
- Published
- 6 Aug 2026, 00:00
- Ranking changed
- 7 Aug 2026, 13:02
- Last successful check
- 29 Aug 2026, 04:17
AwardsWatchHealthy
- Published
- 21 Aug 2026, 16:06
- Ranking changed
- 24 Aug 2026, 05:00
- Last successful check
- 29 Aug 2026, 04:17
Midnight Critics CircleHealthy
- Published
- no date
- Ranking changed
- 25 Jul 2026, 18:05
- Last successful check
- 29 Aug 2026, 04:17
Next Best PictureHealthy
- Published
- no date
- Ranking changed
- 7 Aug 2026, 13:02
- Last successful check
- 29 Aug 2026, 04:17
CONSENSUS
Professional consensus
Each outlet counts once. Unordered selections add coverage, never consensus points.
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View positions 11–15
12
John Turturro — The Only Living Pickpocket in New YorkJohn Turturro · The Only Living Pickpocket in New York
2/5
10.0
↑ 1View provenance and calculation
MARKETS
Separate signals
Kalshi and Polymarket are shown by provider. There is no market consensus and their prices do not participate in professional predictions. They reflect the latest market capture, not the selected professional update.
Kalshi
Strongest nomination signalMatt Damon92%Observed 29 Aug 2026, 14:17Strongest winner signalMatt Damon26%Observed 29 Aug 2026, 15:17
View 8 contracts
Nomination
Matt Damon2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?92%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 14:17John Malkovich2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?74%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 01:17Tom Cruise2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?69%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 05:17Andrew Scott2027 Best Actor Oscar nominations?63%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 06:17Winner
Matt DamonWill Matt Damon win Best Actor at the Oscars?26%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 15:17Tom CruiseWill Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the Oscars?25%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 12:17John MalkovichWill John Malkovich win Best Actor at the Oscars?20%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 15:17Robert PattisonWill Robert Pattison win Best Actor at the Oscars?15%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 09:17Polymarket
Strongest nomination signalMatt Damon91.1%Observed 29 Aug 2026, 12:14Strongest winner signalTom Cruise27%Observed 29 Aug 2026, 04:14
View 8 contracts
Nomination
Matt DamonWill Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?91.1%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 12:14Tom CruiseWill Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?69%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 09:14Andrew ScottWill Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?68.5%Updated 27 Aug 2026, 23:16John MalkovichWill John Malkovich be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?63%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 06:12Winner
Tom CruiseWill Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?27%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 04:14Matt DamonWill Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?26%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 07:12Andrew ScottWill Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?15.5%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 05:12John MalkovichWill John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?11.8%Updated 29 Aug 2026, 15:16COMMUNITY · SEPARATE SIGNAL
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