Awards DailyHealthy
- Published
- 9 Oct 2026, 00:00
- Ranking changed
- 11 Oct 2026, 04:47
- Last successful check
- 16 Oct 2026, 04:17
Professional nomination predictions
Directing
33 candidates · 5 outlets
Coverage4sources in consensus
UPDATE
Verified data
16 Oct 2026, 04:47PUBLISHED
Explore update history · 29
Current professional consensus69 predictions included
Following changes in the experts’ picksChanges from the update on 15 Oct 2026, 04:47
Status and dates for 5 sources
Awards RadarHealthy
- Published
- 14 Oct 2026, 00:00
- Ranking changed
- 8 Oct 2026, 04:47
- Last successful check
- 15 Oct 2026, 04:18
AwardsWatchIncident
- Published
- 17 Sept 2026, 17:11
- Ranking changed
- 29 Sept 2026, 18:33
- Last successful check
- 15 Oct 2026, 04:17
Next Best PictureHealthy
- Published
- no date
- Ranking changed
- 6 Oct 2026, 04:47
- Last successful check
- 16 Oct 2026, 04:17
VarietyHealthy
- Published
- 15 Oct 2026, 00:00
- Ranking changed
- 16 Oct 2026, 04:47
- Last successful check
- 16 Oct 2026, 04:17
CONSENSUS
Professional consensus
Each outlet counts once. Unordered selections add coverage, never Borda points.
View provenance and calculation
02
Javier Ambrossi, Javier Calvo — La Bola NegraJavier Ambrossi, Javier Calvo · La Bola NegraFestival circuit
5/5
93.8
—View provenance and calculation
View provenance and calculation
View provenance and calculation
View provenance and calculation
View provenance and calculation
07
Phil Lord, Christopher Miller — Project Hail MaryPhil Lord, Christopher Miller · Project Hail Mary
2/5
38.3
—View provenance and calculation
View positions 11–33
View provenance and calculation
14
Nathan Fielder, Lance Oppenheim — You Can See EverythingNathan Fielder, Lance Oppenheim · You Can See Everything
2/5
24.6
↑ 224
David Fincher — The Adventures of Cliff BoothDavid Fincher · The Adventures of Cliff Booth
2/5
10.4
↓ 1MARKETS
Separate signals
Latest prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, independent of the expert ranking. Market dates may differ from the selected prediction update.
Kalshi
Strongest nomination signalChristopher Nolan92%Observed 16 Oct 2026, 05:17Strongest winner signalChristopher Nolan65%Observed 16 Oct 2026, 15:17
View 8 contracts
Nomination
Christopher Nolan2027 Best Director Oscar nominations?92%Updated 16 Oct 2026, 05:17Javier Calvo2027 Best Director Oscar nominations?89%Updated 16 Oct 2026, 05:17Martin McDonagh2027 Best Director Oscar nominations?66%Updated 16 Oct 2026, 05:17Olivia Wilde2027 Best Director Oscar nominations?61%Updated 16 Oct 2026, 13:17Winner
Christopher NolanWill Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the Oscars?65%Updated 16 Oct 2026, 15:17Javier Calvo and Javier AmbrossiWill Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi win Best Director at the Oscars?17%Updated 16 Oct 2026, 10:17Denis VilleneuveWill Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the Oscars?9%Updated 16 Oct 2026, 16:17Martin McDonaghWill Martin McDonagh win Best Director at the Oscars?4%Updated 16 Oct 2026, 05:17Polymarket
Strongest nomination signalChristopher Nolan97.6%Observed 16 Oct 2026, 16:14Strongest winner signalChristopher Nolan67.5%Observed 16 Oct 2026, 14:15
View 8 contracts
Nomination
Christopher NolanWill Christopher Nolan be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?97.6%Updated 16 Oct 2026, 16:14Javier CalvoWill Javier Calvo be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?83%Updated 16 Oct 2026, 14:15Javier AmbrossiWill Javier Ambrossi be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?81.5%Updated 16 Oct 2026, 15:11Martin McDonaghWill Martin McDonagh be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?74%Updated 16 Oct 2026, 16:12Winner
Christopher NolanWill Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?67.5%Updated 16 Oct 2026, 14:15Javier Calvo or Javier AmbrossiWill Javier Calvo or Javier Ambrossi win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?14.5%Updated 16 Oct 2026, 16:12Denis VilleneuveWill Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?7.5%Updated 16 Oct 2026, 16:12Alejandro G. IñárrituWill Alejandro G. Iñárritu win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?3.3%Updated 16 Oct 2026, 08:11YOUR BALLOT
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